![]() Purdy suffered a horrific elbow injury in the opening plays of the game against the Eagles that will require surgery. So, he should be the 49ers’ starter next year? This means his dynasty value must be elite since he’s an elite fantasy team quarterback. His QBR was the highest among all rookie quarterbacks at 107.3 (ESPN’s is 65.5). However, he did not turn the ball over hardly at all. Or when he was under pressure and only completed 50% of his passes. There were indeed many times that Purdy looked like a rookie like against the Cowboys. Yet, Jimmy G had a target separation of 2.11, while Purdy’s target separation was at 2.03. To confuse us even more, on tape, it would appear that Shanahan was elite at getting his wide receivers wide open for Purdy. Both those numbers compare favorably to other elite NFL passers. He consistently placed the ball in the perfect spot with an On-Target rate of 77% and rarely had a bad throw, with a rate far below all other rookies at 12.1%. Purdy was masterful in performing Coach Shanahan’s play-action plan. Over his six main games and five starts, Purdy threw for 1,374 yards with 13 touchdowns, only four interceptions, an 8.1 YPA, 67.1% completion rate, and rushed for a touchdown with 13 yards. ![]() He won eight games in a row at one point, largely off of the 49ers’ defense, but Purdy helped. Purdy proceeded to go on a masterclass of quarterbacking where he limited turnovers, moved the ball, and kept his team in front until they ran into the buzz-saw Eagles in the NFC Championship Game. Purdy set all kinds of records after he took over for injured quarterback Jimmy Garoppolo. Irrelevant became extremely relevant to now having a murky, mysterious future ahead of him. This guy was the toughest to decide where to put in the rookie dynasty rankings. Just prepare for another season of Matt Canada calling more awful plays. I’d buy for a late 2024 first or multiple 2023 seconds if you need a young quarterback. That’s plenty valuable in dynasty, and thanks to his “okay” rookie year, you can likely trade for Pickett way cheaper than if you drafted him. I foresee his future being similar to Derek Carr’s. He’s got a solid supporting cast with Diontae Johnson, George Pickens, Pat Freiermuth, and others. Pickett’s a young quarterback set up to be the starter for the Steelers for the foreseeable future. The deeper that he can throw the ball, the more beneficial for fantasy, and it shows that he has a big arm. A plus is that Pickett was on target 72.1% of the time and had a healthy 7.5 Air Yards per attempt. That many sacks are far too many in such a short time frame. Pickett was responsible for many of his 27 sacks, but not all of them were on him. Many of the issues came from poor play-calling and a woeful offensive line. There’s good in there, but also bad, considering Pickett was surrounded by weapons yet could only complete 63% of his passes and throw for a meager seven touchdowns in 13 games. Each of those numbers led all rookie quarterbacks. Over 13 games and 12 starts, Pickett had four game-winning drives, 2,404 yards, nine interceptions, 237 rushing yards, three rushing touchdowns, and four fumbles. Pickett didn’t have to sit long before taking over for Mitchell Trubisky as the Steelers’ starting quarterback. The only quarterback taken in the first round last year had the best season and the best future for the 2022 rookie quarterbacks. Make sure to check out my prior rookie tight end dyn asty rankings. Be sure to comment on Twitter, and I’ll answer any questions! I can’t wait to see how these quarterbacks look a year from now. Stats come from Fantasy Data and Pro Football Reference. Be sure to take advantage of the price discount! All scoring will be based on Superflex PPR, 6-point touchdown leagues. Some potential future studs listed below can be had extremely cheap right now. So, let’s start by analyzing how to value these rookie quarterbacks properly and what the crystal ball tells us for their future. I’ll look at the wide receiver and running back positions in future articles. ![]() However, there’s always a prime opportunity to get in on a quarterback that does just enough in their rookie year to showcase their potential. When one over-performs, their value can skyrocket. When one doesn’t play at all, that decreases their value greatly. Rookie quarterbacks are expected to perform usually first-year in. These dynasty rankings are meant to help you figure out what to do with these rookie quarterbacks. This can help in many ways, like giving you names to buy low on potentially or guys you should sell now. I’ll look at how they did, what to expect in the future, and how I’d rank them after the 2022 season. ![]() I’m ranking the quarterbacks who just completed their rookie season. Now that the 2022 NFL season is over and we’re well into the playoffs, I figured it was time to analyze some NFL rookies.
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